# Where the vote moved more, or less, than in Brazil since 2022

Against 2022, 692 municipalities ended above Brazil's line (they moved more toward Lula than the country) and 4,878 below. The correlation between the two votes, weighted by electorate, is 0.985: the 2026 map is largely 2022's.

Updated 2026-10-26T07:06:08.693Z · Source: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (https://resultados.tse.jus.br) · https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/2022-relativa

## What the map shows

Each place's swing since the 2022 runoff minus Brazil's. It is also how far each place missed a "uniform swing": the prediction that every place would move as the country did.

In the election analysis:

- [Municipality by municipality: before and after](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/analise#dispersao)

## Frequently asked questions

### In how many municipalities did the vote move more than the country's since 2022?

Against 2022, 692 municipalities ended above Brazil's line (they moved more toward Lula than the country) and 4,878 below. The correlation between the two votes, weighted by electorate, is 0.985: the 2026 map is largely 2022's.

## The election's maps

- [The presidential election map](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa)
- [Who won in each state](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/estados)
- [By how much each municipality decided](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/vantagem)
- [Where abstention rose or fell](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/abstencao)
- [Where each municipality moved between the rounds](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/turnos)
- [Where the vote moved more, or less, than in Brazil](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/turnos-relativa)
- [How the vote changed from 2022 to 2026](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/2022)
- [The municipalities that flipped between rounds](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/viradas)
- [The municipalities that flipped since 2022](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/mapa/viradas-2022)

## Results and analysis

- [President](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en)
- [Analysis](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/analise)
- [Runoff](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/segundo-turno)