# Runoff results in Baixo Guandu (ES)

President in Baixo Guandu (ES): Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) 57.57%, Lula (PT) 42.43%. See also governor and Senate.

Updated 2026-10-26T07:06:08.693Z · Source: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (https://resultados.tse.jus.br) · https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/presidente/es/3200805

## President in Baixo Guandu

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got more votes in Baixo Guandu (57.57%), followed by Lula (PT) (42.43%), with 100.00% of polling stations counted. Electorate: 24,893; turnout: 78.32%.

| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 10,727 | 57.57% |
| Lula | PT 13 | 7,905 | 42.43% |

## 1st round in Baixo Guandu

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got more votes in Baixo Guandu, with 56.90% of valid votes; Lula (PT) got 37.16%.

| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 10,475 | 56.90% |
| Lula | PT 13 | 6,841 | 37.16% |
| Escritor Augusto Cury | Avante 70 | 450 | 2.44% |
| Renan Santos | Missão 14 | 368 | 2.00% |
| Ronaldo Caiado | PSD 55 | 192 | 1.04% |
| Zema | Novo 30 | 47 | 0.26% |
| Samara | UP 80 | 11 | 0.06% |
| Clariana Barão | DC 27 | 8 | 0.04% |
| Hertz Dias | PSTU 16 | 7 | 0.04% |
| Edmilson Costa | PCB 21 | 6 | 0.03% |
| Rui Costa Pimenta | PCO 29 | 3 | 0.02% |
| Veterinário Wilson Grassi | Democrata 35 | 2 | 0.01% |

## Governor in Baixo Guandu

Governor with 100.00% of polling stations counted in the municipality.

| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ricardo Ferraço | MDB 15 | 9,075 | 50.28% |
| Lorenzo Pazolini | Republicanos 10 | 8,974 | 49.72% |

## Senate in Baixo Guandu (1st round)

| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Renato Casagrande | PSB 400 | 9,118 | 27.75% |
| Evair de Melo | Republicanos 100 | 8,502 | 25.88% |
| Maguinha Malta | PL 222 | 5,318 | 16.19% |
| Sergio Meneguelli | PSD 556 | 3,981 | 12.12% |
| Fabiano Contarato | PT 133 | 2,615 | 7.96% |
| Rose de Freitas | MDB 156 | 1,602 | 4.88% |
| Marcos do Val | Avante 700 | 1,219 | 3.71% |
| Callegari | DC 277 | 155 | 0.47% |
| Professor Fabian | PSOL 500 | 153 | 0.47% |
| Leonardo Monjardim | Novo 300 | 121 | 0.37% |
| Rodney Miranda | PRTB 280 | 71 | 0.22% |

## From the 1st round to the runoff

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got 56.90% of valid votes in Baixo Guandu, and Lula (PT) got 37.16%; the other candidates added up to 5.94%.

In the runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro got 57.57% (+0.67 points) and Lula got 42.43% (+5.27 points).

Flávio Bolsonaro's lead fell from 19.74 points to 15.14 points.

| Candidate | Party | 1st round | Runoff | Change |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 56.90% | 57.57% | +0.67 points |
| Lula | PT 13 | 37.16% | 42.43% | +5.27 points |

## Comparison with 2022

In the 2022 1st round in Baixo Guandu, Lula (PT) had 42.75% of valid votes and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) had 51.72%. In the 2022 runoff, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won in Baixo Guandu with 57.06% of valid votes.

PL: Flávio Bolsonaro has 57.57% in the 2026 runoff, against 57.06% for Jair Bolsonaro in the 2022 runoff (+0.5 point).

PT: Lula has 42.43% in the 2026 runoff, against 42.94% in the 2022 runoff (−0.5 point).

| Party | 2022 | % in 2022 | 2026 | % in 2026 | Change |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PL | Jair Bolsonaro | 57.06% | Flávio Bolsonaro | 57.57% | +0.5 point |
| PT | Lula | 42.94% | Lula | 42.43% | −0.5 point |

## Analysis: Baixo Guandu and Brazil

Flávio Bolsonaro got 2,822 votes more than Lula in Baixo Guandu.

From the 1st round to the runoff, the gap between the two moved 4.60 points toward Lula in Baixo Guandu, 0.85 points short of Brazil (5.45 points toward Lula). Against the 2022 runoff, it moved 1.02 points toward the PL, 2.80 points short of Brazil.

The municipality kept its 1st-round and its 2022 side.

Abstention was 21.68% in the runoff (22.69% in the 1st round; in Brazil, 19.22%), and blank and null votes, 4.43% (4.33% in the 1st round).

More analyses of the election — who decided, vote transfer, polarization — at https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/analise.

| Indicator | Baixo Guandu | Brazil |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Lula's net votes | −2,822 | +4,430,191 |
| Lula's lead (points) | −15.14 | +3.58 |
| Change in the gap toward Lula since the 1st round (points) | +4.60 | +5.45 |
| Change in the gap toward the PT since 2022 (points) | −1.02 | +1.78 |
| Abstention in the runoff | 21.68% | 19.22% |
| Blank and null in the runoff | 4.43% | 3.24% |

## Frequently asked questions

### Who won for president in Baixo Guandu?

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), with 57.57% of valid votes in Baixo Guandu (ES).

### How did the vote for president in Baixo Guandu change from the 1st round to the runoff?

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got 56.90% of valid votes in Baixo Guandu, and Lula (PT) got 37.16%; the other candidates added up to 5.94%. In the runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro got 57.57% (+0.67 points) and Lula got 42.43% (+5.27 points). Flávio Bolsonaro's lead fell from 19.74 points to 15.14 points.

### Who won in Baixo Guandu in the 2022 election?

In the 2022 1st round in Baixo Guandu, Lula (PT) had 42.75% of valid votes and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) had 51.72%. In the 2022 runoff, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won in Baixo Guandu with 57.06% of valid votes.

### How did the presidential vote in Baixo Guandu change compared with Brazil?

From the 1st round to the runoff, the gap between the two moved 4.60 points toward Lula in Baixo Guandu, 0.85 points short of Brazil (5.45 points toward Lula). Against the 2022 runoff, it moved 1.02 points toward the PL, 2.80 points short of Brazil. The municipality kept its 1st-round and its 2022 side.

## Espírito Santo

- [President](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/presidente/es)
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- [Election analysis](https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/analise)

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