# Runoff results in Caiabu (SP)

President in Caiabu (SP): Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) 54.51%, Lula (PT) 45.49%. See also governor and Senate.

Updated 2026-10-26T07:06:08.693Z · Source: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (https://resultados.tse.jus.br) · https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/presidente/sp/3508900

## President in Caiabu

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got more votes in Caiabu (54.51%), followed by Lula (PT) (45.49%), with 100.00% of polling stations counted. Electorate: 3,330; turnout: 82.79%.

| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 1,456 | 54.51% |
| Lula | PT 13 | 1,215 | 45.49% |

## 1st round in Caiabu

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got more votes in Caiabu, with 54.26% of valid votes; Lula (PT) got 40.15%.

| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 1,377 | 54.26% |
| Lula | PT 13 | 1,019 | 40.15% |
| Ronaldo Caiado | PSD 55 | 69 | 2.72% |
| Escritor Augusto Cury | Avante 70 | 44 | 1.73% |
| Renan Santos | Missão 14 | 25 | 0.99% |
| Zema | Novo 30 | 2 | 0.08% |
| Clariana Barão | DC 27 | 1 | 0.04% |
| Samara | UP 80 | 1 | 0.04% |

## Governor in Caiabu (1st round)

| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Tarcísio | Republicanos 10 | 1,800 | 73.92% |
| Fernando Haddad | PT 13 | 628 | 25.79% |
| Carlos Machado | PCB 21 | 3 | 0.12% |
| Vivian Mendes | UP 80 | 3 | 0.12% |
| Vera Lúcia | PSTU 16 | 1 | 0.04% |

## Senate in Caiabu (1st round)

| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Guilherme Derrite | PP 111 | 1,670 | 36.65% |
| André do Prado | PL 222 | 1,613 | 35.40% |
| Simone Tebet | PSB 400 | 674 | 14.79% |
| Marina Silva | Rede 180 | 560 | 12.29% |
| Geraldo Rufino | Podemos 200 | 24 | 0.53% |
| Dra. Eliana Ferreira | PSTU 161 | 6 | 0.13% |
| Guto Schiavetto | Missão 144 | 3 | 0.07% |
| Soninha Francine | Cidadania 232 | 3 | 0.07% |
| Márcio Alves | UP 800 | 2 | 0.04% |
| Weller Gonçalves | PSTU 160 | 1 | 0.02% |
| Maíra de Souza | UP 808 | 1 | 0.02% |
| Petter Maahs | PCB 211 | 0 | 0.00% |
| William Teixeira | Agir 360 | 0 | annulled votes |

## From the 1st round to the runoff

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got 54.26% of valid votes in Caiabu, and Lula (PT) got 40.15%; the other candidates added up to 5.59%.

In the runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro got 54.51% (+0.25 points) and Lula got 45.49% (+5.34 points).

Flávio Bolsonaro's lead fell from 14.11 points to 9.02 points.

| Candidate | Party | 1st round | Runoff | Change |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 54.26% | 54.51% | +0.25 points |
| Lula | PT 13 | 40.15% | 45.49% | +5.34 points |

## Comparison with 2022

In the 2022 1st round in Caiabu, Lula (PT) had 46.78% of valid votes and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) had 45.89%. In the 2022 runoff, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won in Caiabu with 50.54% of valid votes.

PL: Flávio Bolsonaro has 54.51% in the 2026 runoff, against 50.54% for Jair Bolsonaro in the 2022 runoff (+4.0 points).

PT: Lula has 45.49% in the 2026 runoff, against 49.46% in the 2022 runoff (−4.0 points).

| Party | 2022 | % in 2022 | 2026 | % in 2026 | Change |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PL | Jair Bolsonaro | 50.54% | Flávio Bolsonaro | 54.51% | +4.0 points |
| PT | Lula | 49.46% | Lula | 45.49% | −4.0 points |

## Analysis: Caiabu and Brazil

Flávio Bolsonaro got 241 votes more than Lula in Caiabu.

From the 1st round to the runoff, the gap between the two moved 5.09 points toward Lula in Caiabu, 0.36 points short of Brazil (5.45 points toward Lula). Against the 2022 runoff, it moved 7.94 points toward the PL, 9.72 points short of Brazil.

The municipality kept its 1st-round and its 2022 side.

Abstention was 17.21% in the runoff (19.73% in the 1st round; in Brazil, 19.22%), and blank and null votes, 3.12% (5.05% in the 1st round).

More analyses of the election — who decided, vote transfer, polarization — at https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/analise.

| Indicator | Caiabu | Brazil |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Lula's net votes | −241 | +4,430,191 |
| Lula's lead (points) | −9.02 | +3.58 |
| Change in the gap toward Lula since the 1st round (points) | +5.09 | +5.45 |
| Change in the gap toward the PT since 2022 (points) | −7.94 | +1.78 |
| Abstention in the runoff | 17.21% | 19.22% |
| Blank and null in the runoff | 3.12% | 3.24% |

## Frequently asked questions

### Who won for president in Caiabu?

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), with 54.51% of valid votes in Caiabu (SP).

### How did the vote for president in Caiabu change from the 1st round to the runoff?

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got 54.26% of valid votes in Caiabu, and Lula (PT) got 40.15%; the other candidates added up to 5.59%. In the runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro got 54.51% (+0.25 points) and Lula got 45.49% (+5.34 points). Flávio Bolsonaro's lead fell from 14.11 points to 9.02 points.

### Who won in Caiabu in the 2022 election?

In the 2022 1st round in Caiabu, Lula (PT) had 46.78% of valid votes and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) had 45.89%. In the 2022 runoff, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won in Caiabu with 50.54% of valid votes.

### How did the presidential vote in Caiabu change compared with Brazil?

From the 1st round to the runoff, the gap between the two moved 5.09 points toward Lula in Caiabu, 0.36 points short of Brazil (5.45 points toward Lula). Against the 2022 runoff, it moved 7.94 points toward the PL, 9.72 points short of Brazil. The municipality kept its 1st-round and its 2022 side.

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