Updated at 04:06 ·100.00% of polling stations counted · Source: TSE
Runoff results in Mogi Guaçu (SP)
Who won for president in Mogi Guaçu?
President in Mogi Guaçu (SP): Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) 68.49%, Lula (PT) 31.51%. See also governor and Senate.
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President in Mogi Guaçu
Both candidates
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got more votes in Mogi Guaçu (68.49%), followed by Lula (PT) (31.51%), with 100.00% of polling stations counted. Electorate: 114,331; turnout: 82.47%.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 61,849 | 68.49% |
| Lula | PT 13 | 28,453 | 31.51% |
1st round in Mogi Guaçu
In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got more votes in Mogi Guaçu, with 66.38% of valid votes; Lula (PT) got 25.12%.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 57,443 | 66.38% |
| Lula | PT 13 | 21,740 | 25.12% |
| Escritor Augusto Cury | Avante 70 | 2,742 | 3.17% |
| Renan Santos | Missão 14 | 2,366 | 2.73% |
| Ronaldo Caiado | PSD 55 | 1,790 | 2.07% |
| Zema | Novo 30 | 263 | 0.30% |
| Samara | UP 80 | 91 | 0.11% |
| Hertz Dias | PSTU 16 | 34 | 0.04% |
| Clariana Barão | DC 27 | 28 | 0.03% |
| Edmilson Costa | PCB 21 | 17 | 0.02% |
| Rui Costa Pimenta | PCO 29 | 17 | 0.02% |
| Veterinário Wilson Grassi | Democrata 35 | 9 | 0.01% |
Governor in Mogi Guaçu (1st round)
All 5 candidates
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarcísio | Republicanos 10 | 60,636 | 75.86% |
| Fernando Haddad | PT 13 | 18,730 | 23.43% |
| Vera Lúcia | PSTU 16 | 214 | 0.27% |
| Vivian Mendes | UP 80 | 186 | 0.23% |
| Carlos Machado | PCB 21 | 162 | 0.20% |
Senate in Mogi Guaçu (1st round)
- Guilherme Derrite PP 11137.22%
- André do Prado PL 22236.37%
- Simone Tebet PSB 40012.55%
- Marina Silva Rede 18011.72%
All 12 candidates
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of valid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Derrite | PP 111 | 56,299 | 37.22% |
| André do Prado | PL 222 | 55,025 | 36.37% |
| Simone Tebet | PSB 400 | 18,982 | 12.55% |
| Marina Silva | Rede 180 | 17,725 | 11.72% |
| Guto Schiavetto | Missão 144 | 1,223 | 0.81% |
| Geraldo Rufino | Podemos 200 | 1,077 | 0.71% |
| Soninha Francine | Cidadania 232 | 305 | 0.20% |
| Maíra de Souza | UP 808 | 270 | 0.18% |
| Dra. Eliana Ferreira | PSTU 161 | 158 | 0.10% |
| Petter Maahs | PCB 211 | 84 | 0.06% |
| Márcio Alves | UP 800 | 81 | 0.05% |
| Weller Gonçalves | PSTU 160 | 43 | 0.03% |
| William Teixeira | Agir 360 | 33 | annulled votes |
From the 1st round to the runoff
In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got 66.38% of valid votes in Mogi Guaçu, and Lula (PT) got 25.12%; the other candidates added up to 8.50%.
In the runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro got 68.49% (+2.11 points) and Lula got 31.51% (+6.39 points).
Flávio Bolsonaro's lead fell from 41.26 points to 36.98 points.
| Candidate | Party | 1st round | Runoff | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | PL 22 | 66.38% | 68.49% | +2.11 points |
| Lula | PT 13 | 25.12% | 31.51% | +6.39 points |
Comparison with 2022
In the 2022 1st round in Mogi Guaçu, Lula (PT) had 27.13% of valid votes and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) had 64.35%. In the 2022 runoff, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won in Mogi Guaçu with 70.37% of valid votes.
PL: Flávio Bolsonaro has 68.49% in the 2026 runoff, against 70.37% for Jair Bolsonaro in the 2022 runoff (−1.9 point).
PT: Lula has 31.51% in the 2026 runoff, against 29.63% in the 2022 runoff (+1.9 point).
| Party | 2022 | % in 2022 | 2026 | % in 2026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL | Jair Bolsonaro | 70.37% | Flávio Bolsonaro | 68.49% | −1.9 point |
| PT | Lula | 29.63% | Lula | 31.51% | +1.9 point |
Analysis: Mogi Guaçu and Brazil
Flávio Bolsonaro got 33,396 votes more than Lula in Mogi Guaçu.
From the 1st round to the runoff, the gap between the two moved 4.28 points toward Lula in Mogi Guaçu, 1.17 points short of Brazil (5.45 points toward Lula). Against the 2022 runoff, it moved 3.76 points toward the PT, 1.98 points beyond Brazil.
The municipality kept its 1st-round and its 2022 side.
Abstention was 17.53% in the runoff (19.73% in the 1st round; in Brazil, 19.22%), and blank and null votes, 4.23% (5.72% in the 1st round).
More analyses of the election — who decided, vote transfer, polarization — at https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/analise.
| Indicator | Mogi Guaçu | Brazil |
|---|---|---|
| Lula's net votes | −33,396 | +4,430,191 |
| Lula's lead (points) | −36.98 | +3.58 |
| Change in the gap toward Lula since the 1st round (points) | +4.28 | +5.45 |
| Change in the gap toward the PT since 2022 (points) | +3.76 | +1.78 |
| Abstention in the runoff | 17.53% | 19.22% |
| Blank and null in the runoff | 4.23% | 3.24% |
Frequently asked questions
Who won for president in Mogi Guaçu?
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), with 68.49% of valid votes in Mogi Guaçu (SP).
How did the vote for president in Mogi Guaçu change from the 1st round to the runoff?
In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got 66.38% of valid votes in Mogi Guaçu, and Lula (PT) got 25.12%; the other candidates added up to 8.50%. In the runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro got 68.49% (+2.11 points) and Lula got 31.51% (+6.39 points). Flávio Bolsonaro's lead fell from 41.26 points to 36.98 points.
Who won in Mogi Guaçu in the 2022 election?
In the 2022 1st round in Mogi Guaçu, Lula (PT) had 27.13% of valid votes and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) had 64.35%. In the 2022 runoff, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won in Mogi Guaçu with 70.37% of valid votes.
How did the presidential vote in Mogi Guaçu change compared with Brazil?
From the 1st round to the runoff, the gap between the two moved 4.28 points toward Lula in Mogi Guaçu, 1.17 points short of Brazil (5.45 points toward Lula). Against the 2022 runoff, it moved 3.76 points toward the PT, 1.98 points beyond Brazil. The municipality kept its 1st-round and its 2022 side.



