Brazil Election 2026General election · Runoff · October 25
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Updated at 04:06 ·100.00% of polling stations counted · Source: TSE

Runoff results in Caiabu (SP)

Who won for president in Caiabu?

President in Caiabu (SP): Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) 54.51%, Lula (PT) 45.49%. See also governor and Senate.

Flávio BolsonaroPL 2254.51%1,456 votes
LulaPT 1345.49%1,215 votes
the line marks half of valid votes
Source: TSE

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President in Caiabu

Both candidates

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got more votes in Caiabu (54.51%), followed by Lula (PT) (45.49%), with 100.00% of polling stations counted. Electorate: 3,330; turnout: 82.79%.

President in Caiabu
CandidatePartyVotes% of valid
Flávio BolsonaroPL 221,45654.51%
LulaPT 131,21545.49%

1st round in Caiabu

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got more votes in Caiabu, with 54.26% of valid votes; Lula (PT) got 40.15%.

President in Caiabu, 2026 1st round
CandidatePartyVotes% of valid
Flávio BolsonaroPL 221,37754.26%
LulaPT 131,01940.15%
Ronaldo CaiadoPSD 55692.72%
Escritor Augusto CuryAvante 70441.73%
Renan SantosMissão 14250.99%
ZemaNovo 3020.08%
Clariana BarãoDC 2710.04%
SamaraUP 8010.04%

Governor in Caiabu (1st round)

TarcísioRepublicanos 1073.92%1,800 votes
Fernando HaddadPT 1325.79%628 votes
the line marks half of valid votes
All 5 candidates
Governor in Caiabu (1st round)
CandidatePartyVotes% of valid
TarcísioRepublicanos 101,80073.92%
Fernando HaddadPT 1362825.79%
Carlos MachadoPCB 2130.12%
Vivian MendesUP 8030.12%
Vera LúciaPSTU 1610.04%

Senate in Caiabu (1st round)

  • Guilherme Derrite PP 11136.65%
  • André do Prado PL 22235.40%
  • Simone Tebet PSB 40014.79%
  • Marina Silva Rede 18012.29%
All 12 candidates
Senate in Caiabu (1st round)
CandidatePartyVotes% of valid
Guilherme DerritePP 1111,67036.65%
André do PradoPL 2221,61335.40%
Simone TebetPSB 40067414.79%
Marina SilvaRede 18056012.29%
Geraldo RufinoPodemos 200240.53%
Dra. Eliana FerreiraPSTU 16160.13%
Guto SchiavettoMissão 14430.07%
Soninha FrancineCidadania 23230.07%
Márcio AlvesUP 80020.04%
Weller GonçalvesPSTU 16010.02%
Maíra de SouzaUP 80810.02%
Petter MaahsPCB 21100.00%
William TeixeiraAgir 3600annulled votes

From the 1st round to the runoff

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got 54.26% of valid votes in Caiabu, and Lula (PT) got 40.15%; the other candidates added up to 5.59%.

In the runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro got 54.51% (+0.25 points) and Lula got 45.49% (+5.34 points).

Flávio Bolsonaro's lead fell from 14.11 points to 9.02 points.

President in Caiabu: 2026 1st round and runoff
CandidateParty1st roundRunoffChange
Flávio BolsonaroPL 2254.26%54.51%+0.25 points
LulaPT 1340.15%45.49%+5.34 points

Comparison with 2022

In the 2022 1st round in Caiabu, Lula (PT) had 46.78% of valid votes and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) had 45.89%. In the 2022 runoff, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won in Caiabu with 50.54% of valid votes.

PL: Flávio Bolsonaro has 54.51% in the 2026 runoff, against 50.54% for Jair Bolsonaro in the 2022 runoff (+4.0 points).

PT: Lula has 45.49% in the 2026 runoff, against 49.46% in the 2022 runoff (−4.0 points).

President in Caiabu: 2026 and 2022 runoffs
Party2022% in 20222026% in 2026Change
PLJair Bolsonaro50.54%Flávio Bolsonaro54.51%+4.0 points
PTLula49.46%Lula45.49%−4.0 points

Analysis: Caiabu and Brazil

Flávio Bolsonaro got 241 votes more than Lula in Caiabu.

From the 1st round to the runoff, the gap between the two moved 5.09 points toward Lula in Caiabu, 0.36 points short of Brazil (5.45 points toward Lula). Against the 2022 runoff, it moved 7.94 points toward the PL, 9.72 points short of Brazil.

The municipality kept its 1st-round and its 2022 side.

Abstention was 17.21% in the runoff (19.73% in the 1st round; in Brazil, 19.22%), and blank and null votes, 3.12% (5.05% in the 1st round).

More analyses of the election — who decided, vote transfer, polarization — at https://eleicoes2026brasil.com/en/analise.

President in Caiabu and in Brazil: the analysis's figures
IndicatorCaiabuBrazil
Lula's net votes−241+4,430,191
Lula's lead (points)−9.02+3.58
Change in the gap toward Lula since the 1st round (points)+5.09+5.45
Change in the gap toward the PT since 2022 (points)−7.94+1.78
Abstention in the runoff17.21%19.22%
Blank and null in the runoff3.12%3.24%

Frequently asked questions

Who won for president in Caiabu?

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), with 54.51% of valid votes in Caiabu (SP).

How did the vote for president in Caiabu change from the 1st round to the runoff?

In the 1st round, on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) got 54.26% of valid votes in Caiabu, and Lula (PT) got 40.15%; the other candidates added up to 5.59%. In the runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro got 54.51% (+0.25 points) and Lula got 45.49% (+5.34 points). Flávio Bolsonaro's lead fell from 14.11 points to 9.02 points.

Who won in Caiabu in the 2022 election?

In the 2022 1st round in Caiabu, Lula (PT) had 46.78% of valid votes and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) had 45.89%. In the 2022 runoff, Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won in Caiabu with 50.54% of valid votes.

How did the presidential vote in Caiabu change compared with Brazil?

From the 1st round to the runoff, the gap between the two moved 5.09 points toward Lula in Caiabu, 0.36 points short of Brazil (5.45 points toward Lula). Against the 2022 runoff, it moved 7.94 points toward the PL, 9.72 points short of Brazil. The municipality kept its 1st-round and its 2022 side.